Univ. Concepción vs Magallanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SWA
0 - 0
UCO
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
DSC
0 - 3
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CUR
0 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
UCO
2 - 3
NUB
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Magallanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MAG
3 - 0
DER
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAG
0 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
DER
0 - 1
MAG
19%
22%
59%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
UCH
0 - 1
MAG
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ULC
0 - 0
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |