Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 3
ACS
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
56%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 2
OHI
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DLS
1 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
PUE
2 - 0
DLS
30%
25%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SWA
3 - 2
DLS
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2007 |
DLS
0 - 2
ANT
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 3
DLS
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |