Univ. Concepción vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
CSD
0 - 3
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 0
OVA
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 1
UCO
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
UCO
0 - 1
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
NUB
0 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2000 |
DLS
0 - 1
USF
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 2
DLS
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 1
DLI
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
CSL
2 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CSD
4 - 0
DLS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |