Univ. Concepción vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 2
DSC
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAG
4 - 1
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
UCO
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
COB
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CSD
3 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MAG
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
USF
2 - 1
BAR
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
DSC
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |