Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
OHI
3 - 3
UCO
55%
23%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 1
UCO
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
UCO
3 - 1
CSL
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
CSD
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
NUB
3 - 1
UCO
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 3
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
EVE
3 - 1
ANT
55%
24%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
ANT
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
CSL
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |