Univ. Concepción vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 1
CSL
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CSD
2 - 2
ANT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ANT
2 - 1
SWA
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ANT
0 - 1
UCH
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DLS
3 - 1
ANT
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |