U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
61%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
UCO
5 - 3
DEP
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 5
UCO
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCO
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SWA
1 - 0
UCO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 2
CON
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
NUB
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
DLS
0 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |