Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 5-5
U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 0
COQ
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
0 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
UCO
3 - 1
PUE
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CON
1 - 3
UCO
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
COB
0 - 0
UCO
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |