U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
IQU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSD
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
5 - 2
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UCH
3 - 2
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
HUA
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |