Copa Libertadores Group C Round 4

U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis

U. Católica Unión Española
77 ELO 77
9.7% Tilt 1.8%
1073º General ELO ranking 1120º
11º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
49%
U. Católica
23.4%
Draw
27.5%
Unión Española

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
U. Católica
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.5%
Win probability
Unión Española
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
U. Católica
-5%
-11%
Unión Española

ELO progression

U. Católica
Unión Española
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

U. Católica
U. Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
UCO
U. Católica
1 - 1
Deportes Iquique
IQU
57%
23%
20%
77 75 2 0
18 Mar. 2012
ULC
Unión La Calera
1 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
37%
27%
36%
77 75 2 0
11 Mar. 2012
OHI
O'Higgins
1 - 2
U. Católica
UCO
47%
25%
28%
77 77 0 0
07 Mar. 2012
UNI
Unión Española
1 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
55%
22%
23%
77 78 1 0
03 Mar. 2012
UCO
U. Católica
2 - 0
Rangers Talca
CSD
82%
13%
5%
77 58 19 0

Matches

Unión Española
Unión Española
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 2012
UNI
Unión Española
5 - 2
La Serena
DLS
49%
24%
27%
77 77 0 0
17 Mar. 2012
UCH
Univ de Chile
3 - 2
Unión Española
UNI
49%
24%
27%
77 77 0 0
10 Mar. 2012
UNI
Unión Española
1 - 3
Huachipato
HUA
46%
24%
30%
77 77 0 0
07 Mar. 2012
UNI
Unión Española
1 - 1
U. Católica
UCO
55%
22%
23%
78 77 1 -1
03 Mar. 2012
PAL
Palestino
1 - 3
Unión Española
UNI
40%
26%
34%
77 76 1 +1