U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
DEP
1 - 2
UCO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UCO
5 - 0
CDM
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 3
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CSD
0 - 0
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
COB
0 - 0
UNI
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 3
COB
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
UCO
3 - 1
UNI
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -2 |