Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 3-8
U. Católica vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
63.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
UCO
3 - 0
USF
76%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
USF
1 - 3
UCO
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 1
TAL
29%
24%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ACS
3 - 2
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
JUV
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
AMF
64%
21%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |