U. Católica vs Curicó Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
COQ
2 - 3
UCO
21%
26%
54%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 3
UCO
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Curicó Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
CSL
2 - 3
CUR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
CUR
4 - 0
HUA
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 1
CUR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 1
PAL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CUR
0 - 0
COL
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |