Unity FC vs SC Scarborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+173%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
1º
3º
3º
6
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
6 | 19 |
1º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 19 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
3 | 10 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 4 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unity FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SER
4 - 1
UFC
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UFC
1 - 3
SCA
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 6
UFC
33%
21%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 2
SER
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 61 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
4 - 2
UFC
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 69 | 57 | -1 |
Matches
SC Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
SCA
5 - 0
MAN
75%
15%
9%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UFC
1 - 3
SCA
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
SER
1 - 0
SCA
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
0 - 0
TOR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
4 - 2
UFC
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 12 | 57 | 0 |