United of Manchester vs Morpeth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 0
UNM
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
UNM
1 - 1
BCF
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 5
DON
16%
19%
64%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
UNM
3 - 1
WAR
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Morpeth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RFC
3 - 1
MOR
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
STO
67%
17%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MOR
0 - 3
NOT
20%
21%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
RUN
2 - 2
MOR
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 1
BAM
74%
15%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |