Union Tornesch vs Paloma Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
62%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
9º
16º
13º
63
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RUG
1 - 6
UTO
64%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
1 - 6
SAS
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
VHG
1 - 0
UTO
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UTO
0 - 3
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WAN
5 - 1
UTO
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paloma Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAS
3 - 1
PAL
69%
16%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
PAL
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PAL
5 - 0
OSD
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 0
PAL
29%
22%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |