Unión Temuco vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Temuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LOT
1 - 0
UNI
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 3
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CUR
42%
26%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
ANT
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MAG
3 - 3
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
EVE
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
DCO
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -3 |