Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 1-4
Unión Santa Fe vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 0
LAN
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAU
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 2
CAU
52%
25%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 5
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAU
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAU
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
RIV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |