Unión San Felipe vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OHI
2 - 1
USF
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DLS
2 - 1
USF
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
USF
0 - 1
UCH
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 0
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USF
0 - 0
ULC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
IQU
2 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 5
SWA
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |