Union Quinto vs ACD Trissino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 5
LEG
22%
24%
55%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NKK
1 - 0
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAC
43%
27%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACD Trissino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 1
ACS
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIO
0 - 1
ACD
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ACD
1 - 2
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACD
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
POR
3 - 1
ACD
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |