Union Perg vs Donau Linz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UNP
1 - 4
OED
9%
17%
75%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
UNP
0 - 0
STM
13%
20%
68%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
SPG
3 - 1
UNP
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
UNP
0 - 2
SVW
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
WEA
1 - 0
UNP
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Donau Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DON
2 - 2
SPG
39%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
SVW
4 - 0
DON
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
DON
1 - 0
WEA
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 2
DON
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
DON
2 - 3
STF
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |