Union Perg vs St. Valentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
UMA
4 - 0
UNP
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
UNP
1 - 3
BAD
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
GRU
2 - 1
UNP
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
OED
1 - 0
UNP
85%
10%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SVP
2 - 1
UNP
49%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 0
SPG
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SVW
6 - 0
ASV
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 1
WEA
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
ASV
0 - 5
SKN
3%
8%
89%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
ASV
8 - 1
SKA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | +1 |