Union Neumünster vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
4º
3º
33
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 2
OLD
68%
16%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
FLE
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SVE
2 - 2
UNI
17%
17%
66%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
ECK
65%
18%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 3
HEI
11%
15%
75%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HOH
4 - 2
LUB
37%
21%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 2
SVE
51%
20%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OLD
2 - 2
LUB
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUB
1 - 3
FLE
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |