Union Mertert vs SC Ell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Mertert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
UME
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
UME
0 - 1
CSM
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TBB
2 - 5
UME
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
UME
3 - 1
YBW
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JEU
1 - 2
UME
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SC Ell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ELL
7 - 2
KOP
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ELL
6 - 2
TRI
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ELL
1 - 2
JGI
48%
24%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +13 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
ELL
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ELL
2 - 2
DCE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |