Union Mertert vs Koeppchen analysis


47	ELO	45
3.9%	Tilt	-1.3%
27616º	General ELO ranking	3869º
62º	Country ELO ranking	29º
ELO win probability

54.7%

Union Mertert

22.7%

Draw

22.6%

Koeppchen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

54.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%

22.7%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

22.7%

22.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%