Unión Magdalena vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
EQU
1 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
PAS
1 - 2
UNI
48%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
UNI
53%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
ONC
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 0
FOR
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
67%
22%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
BUC
59%
24%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 1
PAS
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |