1a B Ap. Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Unión Magdalena vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
QUI
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
AFC
0 - 1
UNI
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLA
3 - 0
UNI
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 0
TFC
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 2
BUC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 1
CUC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
BUC
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |