UFC Hallein vs Berndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 0
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALT
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BER
4 - 1
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
GRO
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
WAL
4 - 0
UNI
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Berndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
BER
2 - 3
PUC
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HAL
3 - 1
BER
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
WAL
22%
20%
59%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
GRO
5 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
BER
1 - 2
BRA
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |