Union Gamlitz vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+53%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 57 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 57 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 55 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 54 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 51 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 50 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 35 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 39 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 26 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 21 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 16 |
16º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 1% | 3% |
| Mid-table | 36% | 49% |
| Could qualify for next round | 42% | 35% |
| Relegation | 21% | 14% |
ELO progression
HGK
UGA
VOI
GNA
ESV
LBN
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO UGA | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 0
UGA
46%
27%
27%
|
173 | 165 | -8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
2 - 4
SVW
45%
27%
28%
|
174 | 266 | -92 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SVF
1 - 1
UGA
41%
28%
31%
|
174 | 120 | -54 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 1
GNA
46%
27%
27%
|
175 | 175 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
FUR
4 - 0
UGA
46%
27%
28%
|
176 | 130 | -46 | -2 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO HGK | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
HGK
2 - 1
ESV
46%
27%
27%
|
136 | 154 | -18 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SCB
2 - 2
HGK
45%
27%
28%
|
136 | 140 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HGK
2 - 4
LAF
41%
28%
31%
|
137 | 253 | -116 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ILZ
4 - 2
HGK
47%
27%
26%
|
139 | 172 | 33 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
HGK
3 - 3
LEB
46%
27%
27%
|
139 | 156 | -17 | 0 |