Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 13

Union Gamlitz vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis

Union Gamlitz TUS Heiligenkreuz
36 ELO 33
29% Tilt 68%
7883º General ELO ranking 7867º
136º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
42.2%
Union Gamlitz
22.2%
Draw
35.5%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
Union Gamlitz
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.5%
Win probability
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Gamlitz
+5%
+53%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Voitsberg
30
57
16%
Mettersdorf
30
57
16%
Lafnitz II
29
55
13%
Wildon
28
54
12%
SV Union Gnas
26
51
10%
SC Bruck
26
50
9%
SC Fürstenfeld
24
51
8%
Frauental
23
41
9%
Lebring
21
43
8%
Leoben
10º
18
35
11º
9%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
11º
17
39
10º
9%
Union Gamlitz
12º
15
33
12º
11%
Hitthaller St. Michael
13º
14
33
13º
11%
Ilzer SV
14º
10
26
14º
16%
Rottenmann
15º
10
21
15º
19%
Liezen
16º
5
16
16º
41%
Expected probabilities
Union Gamlitz
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Champion
1% 3%
Mid-table
36% 49%
Could qualify for next round
42% 35%
Relegation
21% 14%

ELO progression

TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
Union Gamlitz
UGA
Voitsberg
VOI
SV Union Gnas
GNA
Hitthaller St. Michael
ESV
Leoben
LBN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Gamlitz
Union Gamlitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO UGA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2019
ROT
Rottenmann
0 - 0
Union Gamlitz
UGA
46%
27%
27%
173 165 -8 0
11 Oct. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
2 - 4
Wildon
SVW
45%
27%
28%
174 266 -92 -1
05 Oct. 2019
SVF
Frauental
1 - 1
Union Gamlitz
UGA
41%
28%
31%
174 120 -54 0
27 Sep. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
0 - 1
SV Union Gnas
GNA
46%
27%
27%
175 175 0 -1
20 Sep. 2019
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
4 - 0
Union Gamlitz
UGA
46%
27%
28%
176 130 -46 -2

Matches

TUS Heiligenkreuz
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1%
X%
2%
ELO HGK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 1
Hitthaller St. Michael
ESV
46%
27%
27%
136 154 -18 +1
11 Oct. 2019
SCB
SC Bruck
2 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
45%
27%
28%
136 140 4 0
05 Oct. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 4
Lafnitz II
LAF
41%
28%
31%
137 253 -116 -1
27 Sep. 2019
ILZ
Ilzer SV
4 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
47%
27%
26%
139 172 33 -1
20 Sep. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
3 - 3
Lebring
LEB
46%
27%
27%
139 156 -17 0