noscript image

Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 28

Union Gamlitz vs Liezen analysis

Union Gamlitz Liezen
12 ELO 5
10% Tilt -15%
9240º General ELO ranking 11725º
171º Country ELO ranking 290º
ELO win probability
54.7%
Union Gamlitz
25.5%
Draw
19.8%
Liezen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
Union Gamlitz
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.8%
Win probability
Liezen
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Gamlitz
+38%
-11%
Liezen

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leoben
71
71
100%
Voitsberg
70
70
100%
Lafnitz II
60
60
100%
Mettersdorf
49
49
100%
Union Gamlitz
44
44
100%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
43
43
50%
Frauental
43
43
50%
SC Fürstenfeld
40
40
33%
Lebring
40
40
10º
33%
Wildon
10º
40
40
33%
SC Bruck
11º
36
36
11º
100%
Ilzer SV
12º
34
34
12º
100%
SV Union Gnas
13º
29
29
13º
100%
Liezen
14º
24
24
14º
50%
Hitthaller St. Michael
15º
24
24
15º
50%
Rottenmann
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Union Gamlitz
Liezen
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 50%
Relegation
0% 50%

ELO progression

Liezen
LIE
Union Gamlitz
UGA
Voitsberg
VOI
Leoben
LBN
Hitthaller St. Michael
ESV
Lebring
LEB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Gamlitz
Union Gamlitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO UGA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2022
ILZ
Ilzer SV
1 - 2
Union Gamlitz
UGA
47%
27%
26%
181 219 38 +1
17 May. 2022
UGA
Union Gamlitz
2 - 1
Lebring
LEB
46%
27%
27%
180 190 -10 +1
13 May. 2022
VOI
Voitsberg
1 - 1
Union Gamlitz
UGA
41%
28%
31%
180 113 -67 0
07 May. 2022
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
0 - 1
Union Gamlitz
UGA
45%
27%
28%
179 183 4 +1
29 Apr. 2022
UGA
Union Gamlitz
1 - 1
SV Union Gnas
GNA
46%
27%
27%
179 187 -8 0

Matches

Liezen
Liezen
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2022
LIE
Liezen
2 - 1
SV Union Gnas
GNA
41%
28%
31%
79 185 -106 +1
17 May. 2022
MET
Mettersdorf
4 - 1
Liezen
LIE
51%
25%
23%
81 259 178 -1
13 May. 2022
LIE
Liezen
1 - 2
SC Bruck
SCB
45%
27%
29%
81 172 -91 -1
07 May. 2022
ROT
Rottenmann
2 - 2
Liezen
LIE
45%
27%
28%
81 91 10 0
29 Apr. 2022
LIE
Liezen
1 - 1
Wildon
SVW
39%
28%
33%
81 255 -174 0