Union Fürstenwalde vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
10º
39
6º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
3 - 0
UNI
17%
17%
66%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSV
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 3
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FMS
0 - 3
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 4
HZE
8%
14%
78%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
TAS
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 3
RFC
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 0
OPT
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
TAS
40%
21%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |