Union Fürstenwalde vs Neustrelitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
5º
17º
10º
47
8º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
BWB
55%
20%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HZE
4 - 0
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SEE
0 - 1
UNI
8%
15%
77%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
PRE
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
BAB
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Neustrelitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 1
HZE
32%
24%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 2
NEU
30%
22%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 8
KSC
5%
12%
83%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BFC
2 - 0
NEU
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HZE
1 - 2
NEU
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |