Union Feltre vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Feltre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEG
1 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 0
CHI
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SDA
1 - 0
UNI
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 3
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIG
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MES
3 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIL
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |