Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAG
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAG
1 - 2
UNI
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
CSL
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
IQU
2 - 3
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OHI
1 - 2
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
0 - 2
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ULC
1 - 2
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
UCO
1 - 0
SWA
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |