Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
COQ
0 - 3
UNI
10%
18%
73%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UNI
5 - 0
HUA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCO
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 0
COB
43%
26%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
EVE
1 - 1
UCO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 1
OHI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |