Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
EVE
0 - 0
UNI
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
UNI
2 - 1
CDM
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
DLS
1 - 1
UNI
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
COQ
2 - 3
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 0
COQ
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
UCH
1 - 0
UCO
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |