Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
ACS
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CSL
3 - 4
UNI
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 1
UCH
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
DLS
2 - 4
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
3 - 5
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSD
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
COL
0 - 2
UCO
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
CFC
1 - 0
UCO
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
5 - 0
COQ
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |