Unión Española vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
4 - 1
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
ACS
3 - 2
UNI
48%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
UNI
1 - 1
CSL
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CSL
3 - 4
UCO
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 1
DEP
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |