Unión Española vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 2
COB
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
USF
2 - 4
UNI
36%
26%
37%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
OHI
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
BLO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
3 - 0
RPO
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 0
BOL
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |