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Austria Fourth Division. Alta Austria, Matchday 12

Union Edelweiß vs St. Valentin analysis

Union Edelweiß St. Valentin
10 ELO 9
66% Tilt 163%
12386º General ELO ranking 22406º
218º Country ELO ranking 380º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Union Edelweiß
18.1%
Draw
48.4%
St. Valentin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Union Edelweiß
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
2.6%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.2%
7-6
<0%
+1
14.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
4.5%
4-4
1.7%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
0
18.1%
48.4%
Win probability
St. Valentin
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
5.9%
3-4
3%
4-5
0.9%
5-6
0.2%
6-7
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
4%
3-5
1.6%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
2-10
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Edelweiß
+45%
+89%
St. Valentin

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oedt
31
59
27%
St. Martin im Muhlreis
29
56
19%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
29
58
16%
SV Friedburg
23
49
9%
St. Valentin
23
49
9%
Union Edelweiß
21
43
7%
Union St. Florian
20
39
7%
Kornspitz Pregarten
19
36
11º
7%
SV Wallern
19
43
7%
Union Mondsee
10º
16
42
7%
Bad Schallerbach
11º
16
37
10º
7%
Donau Linz
12º
15
33
12º
9%
Union Perg
13º
14
33
13º
9%
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
14º
13
32
14º
10%
Zebau Bad Ischl
15º
12
31
15º
11%
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
16º
11
29
16º
13%
Expected probabilities
Union Edelweiß
St. Valentin
Champion
6% 10%
Mid-table
68% 72%
Relegation playoffs
21% 15%
Relegation
5% 3%

ELO progression

Union Edelweiß
UNI
St. Valentin
ASV
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
WEA
Oedt
OED
Kornspitz Pregarten
SPG
SV Friedburg
SVF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Edelweiß
Union Edelweiß
1%
X%
2%
ELO UNI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2021
SPG
Kornspitz Pregarten
1 - 1
Union Edelweiß
UNI
47%
27%
26%
156 185 29 0
08 Oct. 2021
UNI
Union Edelweiß
2 - 2
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
SVP
46%
27%
27%
156 176 -20 0
01 Oct. 2021
UNP
Union Perg
3 - 1
Union Edelweiß
UNI
46%
27%
28%
157 113 -44 -1
24 Sep. 2021
UNI
Union Edelweiß
3 - 1
Donau Linz
DON
46%
27%
26%
156 89 67 +1
17 Sep. 2021
BAD
Bad Schallerbach
3 - 4
Union Edelweiß
UNI
47%
27%
26%
155 187 32 +1

Matches

St. Valentin
St. Valentin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
ASV
St. Valentin
0 - 5
SV Wallern
SVW
41%
28%
32%
142 263 -121 -2
09 Oct. 2021
SVF
SV Friedburg
1 - 1
St. Valentin
ASV
47%
27%
26%
142 187 45 0
02 Oct. 2021
ASV
St. Valentin
3 - 1
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
WEA
45%
27%
29%
141 232 -91 +1
26 Sep. 2021
ASV
St. Valentin
1 - 1
Union St. Florian
STF
41%
28%
31%
141 212 -71 0
18 Sep. 2021
SPG
Kornspitz Pregarten
3 - 4
St. Valentin
ASV
47%
27%
26%
140 187 47 +1