Clausura Peru Round 3

Unión Comercio vs Cusco FC analysis

Unión Comercio Cusco FC
64 ELO 76
1.5% Tilt 2.7%
2409º General ELO ranking 723º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.1%
Unión Comercio
31.1%
Draw
35.8%
Cusco FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
35.8%
Win probability
Cusco FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Unión Comercio
-2%
+1%
Cusco FC

ELO progression

Unión Comercio
Cusco FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2013
ALI
Alianza Lima
3 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
54%
25%
21%
65 70 5 0
31 Aug. 2013
COM
Unión Comercio
2 - 1
Univ. César Vallejo
VAL
33%
28%
39%
64 72 8 +1
25 Aug. 2013
LEO
León de Huánuco
1 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
60%
23%
17%
64 72 8 0
18 Aug. 2013
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 1
Universitario Deportes
UNI
38%
29%
34%
64 72 8 0
11 Aug. 2013
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Unión Comercio
COM
71%
18%
11%
65 76 11 -1

Matches

Cusco FC
Cusco FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2013
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
2 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
40%
31%
30%
77 71 6 0
01 Sep. 2013
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 2
Alianza Lima
ALI
62%
23%
15%
77 70 7 0
25 Aug. 2013
GAR
Cusco FC
1 - 0
Univ. San Martín
SAM
68%
21%
12%
77 67 10 0
18 Aug. 2013
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
1 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
42%
27%
31%
78 72 6 -1
10 Aug. 2013
GAR
Cusco FC
3 - 1
José Gálvez
GAL
76%
16%
7%
78 61 17 0