Unión Comercio vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
COM
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 2
SPC
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
CIE
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 1
CIE
65%
21%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 1
HUA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |