U.Comercial vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
COM
0 - 4
COV
26%
24%
51%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
COM
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
TIN
54%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
COM
71%
18%
12%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
CAM
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 1
NAR
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 0
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UDL
0 - 2
NAR
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NAR
1 - 1
PCF
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |