Unión Comercial vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ENA
3 - 1
UCO
29%
24%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 0
VCD
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
MAD
4 - 4
UCO
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
SIE
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
AST
0 - 1
NAL
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BER
1 - 1
AST
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ENA
1 - 4
AST
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
AST
1 - 0
VCD
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |