UC Ceares vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Ceares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
URR
2 - 2
CEA
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 3
TUI
45%
25%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 0
UNI
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
GIN
1 - 1
CEA
36%
26%
37%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CUD
3 - 0
CEA
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
COV
3 - 0
NAI
76%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LEN
4 - 2
NAI
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NAI
3 - 3
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CON
0 - 0
NAI
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 3
LUA
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |