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Serie D. Group C, Matchday 31

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Mestre analysis

Arzignano Valchiampo Mestre
24 ELO 33
-23% Tilt 49%
3033º General ELO ranking 2632º
230º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
22.9%
Arzignano Valchiampo
24.8%
Draw
52.3%
Mestre

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
Arzignano Valchiampo
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.3%
Win probability
Mestre
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arzignano Valchiampo
-13%
+8%
Mestre

Basic stats

2
1
GF
1
2
GC
24
33
ELO
1
1.6
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Arzignano Valchiampo
Their league position
Mestre
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
20º
60
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Trento
81
81
100%
Arzignano Valchiampo
67
67
100%
Manzanese
66
66
100%
Clodiense
62
62
100%
Caldiero Terme
61
61
100%
Mestre
60
60
100%
Delta Porto Tolle
58
58
100%
Luparense
54
54
100%
Belluno
53
53
100%
Cjarlins Muzane
10º
52
52
10º
50%
Cartigliano
11º
52
52
11º
50%
Union San Giorgio Sedico
12º
49
49
13º
50%
Adriese
13º
49
49
12º
50%
Ambrosiana
14º
47
47
14º
100%
AC Este
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Campodarsego
16º
40
40
16º
100%
Union Feltre
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Virtus Bolzano
18º
38
38
18º
50%
Montebelluna
19º
38
38
19º
50%
Chions
20º
21
21
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arzignano Valchiampo
Mestre
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
Mestre
MES
Chions
CHI
Union San Giorgio Sedico
SGS
Clodiense
CLO
Cartigliano
CAR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arzignano Valchiampo
Arzignano Valchiampo
1%
X%
2%
ELO UAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
CAM
Campodarsego
0 - 1
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
47%
27%
26%
304 340 36 0
14 Apr. 2021
UAR
Arzignano Valchiampo
2 - 0
Union San Giorgio Sedico
SGS
45%
27%
28%
301 300 1 +2
10 Apr. 2021
CAR
Cartigliano
1 - 0
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
46%
27%
27%
303 289 -14 -1
12 May. 2021
UAR
Arzignano Valchiampo
2 - 0
Clodiense
CLO
49%
26%
25%
303 200 103 0
27 Mar. 2021
VIR
Virtus Bolzano
1 - 2
Arzignano Valchiampo
UAR
49%
26%
25%
301 421 120 +2

Matches

Mestre
Mestre
1%
X%
2%
ELO MES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2021
MES
Mestre
0 - 0
Union Feltre
UNI
53%
25%
22%
438 253 185 0
14 Apr. 2021
CLO
Clodiense
1 - 3
Mestre
MES
39%
28%
33%
436 202 -234 +2
11 Apr. 2021
MES
Mestre
2 - 1
Belluno
BEL
51%
26%
23%
435 263 172 +1
01 Apr. 2021
TRE
Trento
2 - 2
Mestre
MES
39%
27%
34%
435 171 -264 0
27 Mar. 2021
MES
Mestre
0 - 1
Ambrosiana
GSD
53%
25%
22%
437 246 191 -2