1ª Madrid Group 1 Round 26

Union de Aravaca vs Tres Cantos CDF B analysis

Union de Aravaca Tres Cantos CDF B
18 ELO 20
17.9% Tilt 5.3%
13400º General ELO ranking 12326º
2374º Country ELO ranking 1638º
ELO win probability
31.5%
Union de Aravaca
21.4%
Draw
47.1%
Tres Cantos CDF B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
Union de Aravaca
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.1%
Win probability
Tres Cantos CDF B
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union de Aravaca
+30%
-15%
Tres Cantos CDF B

ELO progression

Union de Aravaca
Tres Cantos CDF B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union de Aravaca
Union de Aravaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
FOM
Fomento Alumni CD
1 - 3
Union de Aravaca
UAR
33%
23%
45%
16 14 2 0
09 Mar. 2025
UAR
Union de Aravaca
1 - 1
Hoyo de Manzanares
HMA
48%
21%
31%
16 17 1 0
02 Mar. 2025
VIL
Villanueva de La Cañada
2 - 1
Union de Aravaca
UAR
71%
17%
13%
16 23 7 0
23 Feb. 2025
UAR
Union de Aravaca
0 - 3
Carranza
CAR
69%
16%
15%
18 15 3 -2
16 Feb. 2025
ALC
Alcobendas
1 - 0
Union de Aravaca
UAR
46%
24%
31%
18 20 2 0

Matches

Tres Cantos CDF B
Tres Cantos CDF B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2025
SPB
Sporting Hortaleza B
3 - 2
Tres Cantos CDF B
FTC
58%
20%
23%
21 24 3 0
09 Mar. 2025
FTC
Tres Cantos CDF B
1 - 0
Fomento Alumni CD
FOM
74%
16%
11%
21 14 7 0
02 Mar. 2025
HMA
Hoyo de Manzanares
3 - 4
Tres Cantos CDF B
FTC
29%
22%
49%
21 17 4 0
23 Feb. 2025
FTC
Tres Cantos CDF B
2 - 1
Villanueva de La Cañada
VIL
31%
23%
47%
20 24 4 +1
16 Feb. 2025
CAR
Carranza
2 - 2
Tres Cantos CDF B
FTC
20%
21%
60%
20 14 6 0