Arafo FEM vs Guargacho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arafo FEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IGU
2 - 1
ARA
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 2
CDP
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SRE
2 - 1
ARA
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
UTS
9%
15%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 1
CHE
47%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Guargacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
UTS
55%
20%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 4
GUA
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
UIS
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ROQ
0 - 4
GUA
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
7 - 1
CDA
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |