Atlético Cearense vs Maracanã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 1
UNI
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
FER
0 - 1
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Maracanã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
IGU
33%
27%
40%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CEA
2 - 1
MAR
87%
11%
3%
|
37 | 83 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAU
24%
22%
55%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAU
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |