União Tires vs Lourel SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Tires
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAC
2 - 1
UNI
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
POV
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 2
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALV
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OEI
3 - 1
UNI
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lourel SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
LOU
5 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CLU
1 - 1
LOU
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
IRI
1 - 2
LOU
34%
23%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |