União RS vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 0
URS
25%
25%
49%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
URS
0 - 0
VER
42%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
URS
2 - 2
GLO
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 1
URS
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
URS
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
LAJ
2 - 1
NOV
23%
27%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
PAS
1 - 1
LAJ
42%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
LAJ
2 - 0
ESP
39%
27%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ISM
2 - 0
LAJ
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PAS
2 - 1
LAJ
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |